With the news out this week that former Trump-era ambassador to the U.N. Nikki Haley is planning to launch her presidential bid in a week or so, Americans are growing increasingly anxious to know who’s leading the pack.
Well, for starters, the only candidate who’s officially declared his candidacy so far is former President Donald Trump.
That said, many suspect that current President Joe Biden and current Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis will also be running for the presidency in 2024.
But where exactly do all these candidates stand? It depends on the poll.
One recent Marquette University poll found that 64 percent of Republicans across the states would choose DeSantis over Trump as the 2024 GOP nominee.
The same poll reportedly found that registered voters writ large likewise preferred DeSantis to Biden, 45 percent to 38 percent.
Conversely, Trump and Biden were tied at 40 percent.
2024 Presidential Election Poll
(R) Ron DeSantis: 45% (+7)
(D) Joe Biden: 38%
(R) Donald Trump: 40% (=)
(D) Joe Biden: 40%
7 point swing towards DeSantis from Nov. poll by the same pollster (was 42/42)@MULawPoll | 876 RV | Jan 9-20 | +/- 4%https://t.co/CzXwuZ6Mua pic.twitter.com/uUTRYMNKKM
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) January 26, 2023
What’s interesting is that a Marquette University poll conducted almost one year earlier found Biden beating both Trump (43 to 33 percent) and DeSantis (41 to 33 percent).
New poll- President Biden leads widely in possible matchups with both Donald Trump and Ron DeSantis. Marquette University: If Presidential election were today, who would you vote for?
• Biden 43%
• Trump 33%
• Biden 41%
• DeSantis 33% pic.twitter.com/mxIuB9rN76
— Mike Sington (@MikeSington) January 28, 2022
Another poll — this one conducted by USA Today — also found GOP voters preferring DeSantis to Trump.
“By 2-1, GOP and GOP-leaning voters now say they want Trump’s policies but a different standard-bearer to carry them. While 31% want the former president to run, 61% prefer some other Republican nominee who would continue the policies Trump has pursued,” the paper reported in December.
“They have a name in mind: Two-thirds of Republicans and those inclined to vote Republican want Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis to run for president. By double digits, 56% to 33%, they prefer DeSantis over Trump,” the paper added.
USA Today poll:
Biden vs Trump: Biden leads 47-40%
Biden vs. DeSantis: DeSantis leads 47-43%
— Ryan James Girdusky (@RyanGirdusky) December 13, 2022
The same poll found Biden beating Trump 47 to 40 percent but losing to DeSantis 43 to 47 percent.
What about Haley?
In the top battleground state of New Hampshire, the aspiring presidential candidate carries the support of 8 percent of the GOP base, according to a University of New Hampshire poll, reported Fox News.
That’s far short of the 30 percent carried by Trump and a whopping 42 percent carried by DeSantis.
And so, realistically, it seems like Haley doesn’t stand a chance, short of a miracle.
Moving forward, an NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll conducted in December found that Democrat voters strongly prefer Biden to others, such as Vice President Kamala Harris.
“Two years is arguably a political eternity, but the latest poll found that Democrats were about twice as likely to prefer that Biden represent their party in a presidential run compared to Vice President Kamala Harris or Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg. Another quarter of Democrats said they would rather nominate someone else entirely,” according to PBS.
Surprisingly, the same poll also found GOP voters prefer Trump to DeSantis.
“When asked a similar question, 45 percent of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents said they still favor former President Donald Trump as their leading 2024 candidate. Meanwhile, 33 percent preferred Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and 8 percent wanted to see former Vice President Mike Pence make a White House run. About one in 10 of Republicans would rather see someone else nominated,” PBS reported.
These findings come as Trump continues to needlessly antagonize DeSantis, despite the Florida governor having thus far given no indication that he’s going to run.
Most recently, the former president penned a Truth Social piece blasting “Ron DeSanctimonious.”
“The enthusiasm to MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN has never been stronger. The revelations about Ron DeSanctimonious doing FAR WORSE than many other Republican governors, including that he unapologetically shut down Florida and its
beaches, was interesting, indeed. DJT leading BIG!!!” he wrote five days ago.
It’s not clear what he was talking about. It appears he’s been making things up about DeSantis, such as falsely accusing him of being a lockdown governor.
Meanwhile, this week Trump told conservative radio host Hugh Hewitt that he won’t necessarily back the GOP nominee if it isn’t him.
“It would depend. I would give you the same answer I gave in 2016 during the debate. … It would have to depend on who the nominee was,” he said.
He also addressed Haley’s announcement.
“She’s a very ambitious person. She just couldn’t stay in a seat. I said, ‘You know what, Nikki, if you want to run, you go ahead and run,’” he said.
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