Democrats looking to jettison President Joe Biden from the 2024 ticket are going to need to do so very quickly because time is running short, argued NBC News Chief Political Analyst Chuck Todd.
On Friday, the former “Meet the Press” host joined Andrea Mitchell on MSNBC, the day after Biden’s “big boy” presser at the NATO 75th anniversary celebration, a high-stakes event for the 81-year-old who is fighting for his political survival.
“If they’re going to make a move against Biden though, they’ve got to do it this weekend,” Todd said, urging the mutineers to make their move in the next 48 hours.
(Vide0: MSNBC)
The conversation focused on how a DEI candidate like VP Kamala Harris instead of Biden would increase turnout to allow Dems to retake control of the House of Representatives, which the two hosts note is a reason why lawmakers in the lower chamber are the most vocal to dump Biden.
“Here’s the problem, right, in theory, it’s a winnable race for Biden, but the question is, can he do the things he needs to do to win?” Todd asked. “And when you look at even recent historical context, nobody with this low of a job approval rating as an incumbent president has ever won, period.”
“It’s just a fact in the modern era of polling, and so that’s why all of these very well-qualified and very experienced strategists look at what appears to be a close race and says, yeah, but when you look under the hood, you realize, one candidate is a lot stronger than the other candidate and that’s the issue.”
He continued, “And another thing on Harris and I have talked to with some Democrats, you know while she polls very similarly to Biden, what’s interesting is that it’s a different — potentially a different electorate, and so when I’ve talked to some down-ballot strategists, they’ve made the argument to me that while maybe she is not as, does not do as well doesn’t do as well with swing voters as you would want a Democratic nominee to be, but if she gets younger voters and African American voters a little more enthusiastic about showing up, that even if she loses to Trump, she gives Democrats a better shot with an electorate that would allow them to win the house in New York…”
It was a stunning suggestion that Democrats may already see the election as a lost cause and that promoting Harris may be the only way to win the House by appealing to those voters who base their decisions on gender and skin color over the issues.
“You know the big fear with Biden at the top of the ticket… particularly why the House Democrats I think are the most panicked right now at their situation, is that you’ll have a bunch of demoralized Democrats in blue states who say well I don’t have to go, I don’t like it and then all of a sudden…those swing districts in New York and California, which are the key to Democrats winning the House, they come up about two or three points short and it’s a turnout problem and it’s a base problem,” Todd said.
“So that’s why House Democrats are almost like on edge,” he added. “Frankly, Senate Democrats knew they’re probably losing control of the Senate, just the map is what it is. But there’s a reason it’s the House Democrats that are more vocal right now than even the Senate Democrats because they see control of the House slipping away.”
“If they’re gonna make a move against Biden though, they got to do it this weekend,” he said. “They can’t keep dragging this out. They can’t keep waiting for another moment, another excuse.”
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