The “appalling” leak of a majority opinion draft from Justice Samuel Alito indicating that the Supreme Court is poised to overturn Roe v. Wade has certainly galvanized the radical left base of the Democratic Party, with the usual suspects like Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass, whipping the party faithful into a sufficient frenzy over the issue.
The rally call on the left has been to turn out in November and vote for pro-abortion candidates but it remains to be seen if it translates to a better showing for the Democratic Party in the midterm elections, where most experts foresee a shellacking in the waiting.
A new poll suggests that the Supreme Court overturning Roe “will likely have only a modest impact, if any” on the election, according to the Washington Examiner. A poll that shows Republicans currently holding a 10-point advantage over Democrats.
The newspaper obtained a survey prepared for the America First Policy Institute by RMG Research Group that showed the driving issues for voters are “issues such as inflation, immigration, crime, the war in Ukraine,” issues that continue to resonate with Americans and have a more immediate impact on their daily lives.
As for Roe, the survey found there is “some uncertainty with voters over what overturning Roe would do, with 41% stating they thought it would completely outlaw abortion, 36% saying they weren’t sure what it would mean, and 22% having ‘some understanding’ of what overturning the decision would mean,” the Examiner reported.
“If the Supreme Court overturns Roe, the conventional wisdom assumes that the issue will help Democrats in the midterms; the only question is by how much. A deeper look at the data, however, suggests the conventional wisdom is wrong,” the pollster said. “The conventional wisdom is based on years of polling, showing that a solid majority of voters oppose overturning that 1973 ruling. My own polling shows the same results. However, any poll asking whether voters want to overturn Roe is meaningless. Seventy-seven percent of voters don’t know what overturning that decision would mean. If people don’t understand what overturning Roe would mean, how can you possibly interpret polling data showing that people don’t want it overturned?”
What’s more, the results suggest the issue of abortion could work out in favor of the GOP, finding that “most voters will be okay with overturning Roe.”
“With Roe in place, the abortion laws are set by judges. Sixty-five percent of voters think abortion laws should be established by voters and their elected representatives. That’s exactly what will happen if Roe is overturned. Just [18%] prefer the status quo,” the polling memo said.
Even worse, with Senate Democrats set to bring a bill to vote this week on abortion rights, the poll found that certain provisions included in the legislation are not popular with voters.
“The bill would make abortion legal at any point during a pregnancy up to the moment of birth. That extreme position is supported by only [17%] of voters. Seventy-two percent of voters reject the Democrats’ position that abortion should be legal at any point during the pregnancy up to the moment of birth,” the poll found. “That includes 38% who believe abortion should be allowed only in cases of rape, incest, or when the life of the mother is at risk — 34% believe abortion should be legal only in the early stages of pregnancy, no later than the first trimester.”
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