The Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) released their latest crime report and informed the public there will be no crime estimates available for 2021 due to lack of “agency participation.”
Jeff Asher, a consultant with AH Datalytics, a firm that specializes in “analyzing, disseminating, and presenting information” to the public, reported on this development after the FBI presented their Quarterly Uniform Crime Report Monday.
“For this quarterly release,” the FBI explained, “due to agency participation being under the 60 percent threshold, data trends by region and aggregate population group will not be available.”
The FBI reported today that they will not be releasing quarterly crime estimates for any quarter of 2021 because not enough agencies reported data to the FBI. pic.twitter.com/gzYTB34r5A
— Jeff Asher (@Crimealytics) March 21, 2022
“Data from individual city agencies with populations of 100,000 or greater can be accessed in the Resources section below,” the screengrab from Asher explained.
The FBI Crime Data Explorer provides links to those agencies along with explanations on the data and how it was collected. Therein, it states, “Quarterly Uniform Crime Report data for the nation are derived from National Incident-Based Reporting System (NIBRS) reports voluntarily submitted to the FBI.”
Of the 18,818 law enforcement agencies in the United States, only 9,881 offered to submit their data to the NIBRS report.
Though the crime report from the FBI has been compiling data since 1929 and the NIBRS has been around since 1988, the transition to this system as the sole metric for reporting crime statistics did not begin until Jan. 1, 2021.
Asher explained in the New York Times that the old system, the Summary Reporting System (S.R.S.), worked on a hierarchy where only the most serious offense was counted in an incident. The NIBRS allows up to 10 offenses to be recorded and is expected to eventually provide greater depth in analyzing crime.
However, only three-quarters of agencies accepted the Jan. 1 deadline to transition to NIBRS. Notable major cities like New York and Chicago did not provide information to the FBI. The Bureau of Justice Statistics was reportedly “working on a set of estimation procedures, with input and support from the F.B.I., to generate national crime statistics based on the reported NIBRS data,” to correct these failings.
The data consultant took a moment to address concerns that this was part of a “conspiracy to cover up crime stats” arguing in favor of the potential of this new system while pointing out the clunky machinations of a bureaucracy that inhibit transition.
A lot of people QTing this thread proclaiming some conspiracy to cover up crime stats, but the reality is that it’s the latest line in a years long slowly unfolding train wreck (maybe too strong?). NIBRS has lots going for it but in the short term it probably means less insight.
— Jeff Asher (@Crimealytics) March 21, 2022
Those concerns are not unwarranted as the Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has already admitted this year that they knowingly withheld data related to the pandemic out of concerns it would be misinterpreted.
What cannot be misinterpreted is the fact that crime in major cities, notably run by Democrat politicians, has continued to rise. New York City has seen an overall increase of 45.37 percent to begin 2022 after continually rising throughout 2021 under the new leadership of Mayor Eric Adams (D).
Guided by Mayor Lori Lightfoot (D), Chicago experienced more than 800 murders in a spike Chicago 911 dispatcher Keith Thornton blamed on the horrible “lack of leadership and the failure of leadership throughout [the] entire city of Chicago.”
San Francisco residents reported they “are scared to go into these store” that is being menaced by shoplifters while Mayor London Breed (D) merely acknowledged the need for more police officers, “Not because we’re trying to have a significant force, it’s more so because we have people retiring or leaving.”
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