New data reveals who really powered Mamdani’s NYC victories

A low-turnout election in New York City paved the way for a minority of voters to help deliver victory to a socialist backed by Mayor Zohran Mamdani.

“Five-term incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat was defeated in the Democratic primary Tuesday night in what political observers are calling a stunning upset by newcomer Darializa Avila Chevalier — a political earthquake not just for New York City politics, but also for the Congressional Hispanic Caucus, which Espaillat chairs,” CBS News reported.

All three of Mamdani’s progressive picks won their races Tuesday night, and two, including Avila Chevalier, defeated incumbent Democrats. Avila Chevalier was pushed over the finish line thanks to just 7% of the voters who turned out for New York City’s congressional primaries.

“The overall low turnout — roughly 17% of Democratic voters citywide — came as Avila Chevalier and two other Mamdani-backed House primary winners captured a mix of high-earning, young, white and black voters, analysts found,” the New York Post reported. “Insiders also credited the Democratic Socialists of America’s formidable field operations for turning out voters who’d back Mamdani’s preferred candidates — setting the stage for a potential party takeover by the DSA.”

“This was the red wedding, and the victims of the red wedding were the Democrats,” political analyst JC Polanco told the Post.

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“It’s a hostile takeover by the Democratic Socialists of America, who have demonstrated that they have the organization to win primaries where there is no voter turnout,” Polanco, a professor at the University of Mount Saint Vincent, added. “In some of these districts, nobody votes; it’s a very small turnout, and the Democratic Socialists of America come in and win. They’ve taken over the party locally.”

Election data cited by the outlet showed Avila Chevalier drew around “33,000 votes from 449,000 active voters in the 13th House District,” many of them college-educated, non-Hispanic voters.

“Avila Chevalier swept white voters — 68% to Espaillat’s 39%, according to VoteHub, a nonpartisan political media organization. White residents represent just 15% of the district, Census data shows,” according to the Post. “The community organizer and doctoral candidate also won 55% of the vote in heavily black precincts, compared to her opponent’s 45%, VoteHub found.”

Frieda Powers

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