Former President Donald Trump’s chances of beating President Joe Biden in the 2024 race look brighter than ever, according to a new poll.
Conducted by Bloomberg News and Morning Consult, the poll found Trump leading Biden in a number of key swing states where voters have rejected the current president’s #Bidenomics’ agenda.
“Trump, the frontrunner for the GOP nomination, leads Biden 47% to 43% among voters in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. The results across those seven states had a margin of error of 1 percentage point,” Bloomberg reported Thursday.
That’s impressive. So is the fact that a notable 51 percent majority of these swing-state voters believe Trump’s economy was superior to Biden’s economy. A similar percentage, 49 to 35, would trust the former president more-so than the current president moving forward. Specifically among independent voters, Trump commands an even higher 22 point lead on this issue.
Voters who were polled also expressed more trust in Trump regarding immigration, infrastructure, U.S.-China relations, and the Ukrainian war. That said, the leading issue for voters was the economy.
“The economic perceptions may prove most consequential: Swing-state voters cited the economy more than any other issue as the most important to them at the ballot box. And on specific pocketbook issues, including the stock market, housing, the cost of everyday goods, interest rates, and taxes, more respondents trusted Trump,” according to Bloomberg.
“Right now, Biden is not getting any credit for work he’s done on the economy,” Morning Consult pollster Caroline Bye said. “Almost twice as many voters in the swing states are saying that Bidenomics is bad for the economy, as opposed to good for the economy, which is a really startling fact if you’re the Biden campaign.”
In fact, only 26 percent of poll respondents described Bidenomics as a positive, with a 49 percent plurality claiming it’s been bad for the economy. Among those who rated the economy as their most important issue, an overwhelming 65 percent (versus 14 percent) disproved of the president’s economic agenda.
And lastly, Trump even “trumped” Biden on infrastructure, with 42 percent (versus 38 percent) preferring his policies.
A similar poll conducted this week by Redfield & Wilton Strategies on behalf of The Telegraph not surprisingly uncovered similar results.
“In the latest suggestion Mr Trump’s early campaign has resonated in battleground states, the research finds he leads in a head-to-head battle in Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina and Florida, and is tied with Mr Biden in Michigan,” according to the British paper.
“Mr Trump, who is the runaway favourite for the Republican nomination, is also considered to be the strongest leader of the two men and the best person to understand the problems facing America in all six states – including Pennsylvania, where Mr Biden has an overall lead,” The Telegraph reported Sunday.
2024 GE: @RedfieldWilton
(R) Trump 44% (+5)
(D) Biden 39%
(R) Trump 43% (+3)
(D) Biden 40%
(R) Trump 41% (=)
(D) Biden 41%
(R) Trump 43% (+5)
(D) Biden 38%
(D) Biden 43% (+1)
(R) Trump 42%
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) October 15, 2023
A majority of respondents in all six states — Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Florida — also said that Biden’s too old to run, that Trump’s in better health, and that Trump’s “a stronger leader,” “will be tough on China,” “can get the economy going again,” and “understands the problems afflicting America.”
Biden led only on two things — that he “cares about people like me” and “is willing to work with the other party where possible.”
But there was a little bad news for Trump as well.
“In all six swing states, the largest group of voters – between 46 and 50 per cent – said they supported the legal proceedings against Mr Trump and that they were legitimate rather than ‘politically motivated,'” according to The Telegraph.
Also, while Trump is leading in swing-state polls, he’s only tying at best in national polls, as seen in the voting averages below from RealClearPolitics:
Trump is also dealing with efforts by some to have him removed from voting ballots because of the Jan. 6th riot, though thankfully, those efforts haven’t been successful.
“Election officials in key states have recently rejected calls to unilaterally remove former President Donald Trump from the 2024 ballot and are saying courts should decide whether he’s disqualified by the 14th Amendment’s ‘insurrectionist ban,'” CNN reported last month.
“The secretaries of state who oversee elections in Michigan, Georgia, New Hampshire and Minnesota have recently said they don’t have the power on their own to invoke the 14th Amendment and block Trump from the presidential ballot. These officials, which include Democrats and Republicans, come from states comprising 45 electoral votes,” according to the network.
The belief by his enemies is that his behavior on Jan. 6th, 2021 disqualifies him from running for office. However, as noted by CNN, election officials are asking that the courts — likely the Supreme Court — resolve the matter.
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