While political focus is currently on the 2026 midterms, a glance at 2028 reveals who Democrats would have as America’s next president.
A poll of voters, including “young American registered voters (aged 18-34)” conducted by Yale Youth Poll, reveals that popular figures like former Vice President Kamala Harris and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, D-New York, have established an early lead.
“Looking ahead to 2028, Gavin Newsom and JD Vance lead their respective presidential primaries—but a majority of Republicans would vote for Donald Trump in the GOP primary if he were able to run for a third term. A plurality of Democrats want their party to moderate ahead of 2028, while a majority of Republicans think the GOP needs to focus on turning out its base,” the poll explains.
“On the Democratic side, California Governor Gavin Newsom leads the 2028 presidential primary with 25% support, followed by former Vice President Kamala Harris (18%), Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (16%), and former Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg (14%). All other candidates received less than 5% support,” the report continues.
But when it comes specifically to younger voters, the numbers look a little bit different.
“Unlike in the Republican primary, the Democratic candidates have larger variations in support between different demographic groups, suggesting that candidates have started to develop bases of support. For instance, Ocasio-Cortez leads among Democrats under 35 with 32%. Newsom leads among male (32%), white (27%), and Hispanic (27%) Democrats. Female (24%) and Black (47%) Democrats prefer Harris,” the poll reveals.
This indicates that it may be difficult for Democrats to unify their base enough to decide on a nominee that will make everyone happy. This could alienate certain groups of voters, who may refuse to vote if their candidate of choice is not selected.
“In a MaxDiff test, Democratic voters named Newsom as the most electable against a hypothetical Republican candidate (85%). Arizona Senator Mark Kelly (63%), Minnesota Governor Tim Walz (59%), New Jersey Senator Cory Booker (58%), and Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro (58%) were next in electability, despite polling relatively poorly in our horserace primary question. Interestingly, Mark Cuban was seen as the second-most electable Democrat (61%) among Democratic voters under 35, followed by Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear (59%),” the report reads.
It’s clear voters have differing ideas for how the two parties should move forward. Republicans largely indicate a desire to “focus on energizing and turning out their base in the next election,” while the majority of Democrats “believed that their party should moderate.” A large portion of left-leaning voters also say the party should “prioritize turning out the base.”
Writers and editors can be contacted at [email protected] with feedback, tips, or corrections.
Sierra Marlee is a millennial whose hunger for the truth in a world of fake news has led her to write. Marlee also contributes to BizPac Review.
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