Trump would beat Biden by 6 points and Kamala by 11 if 2024 election were held today

In yet another distressing development for Democrats, a new poll shows that if the 2024 presidential election were held now, both President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris would lose to former President Donald Trump.

A new poll released Monday showed the still-popular 45th president would beat his successor by a six-point margin and he would leave Harris in the dust with an 11-point lead.

The poll results of the hypothetical 2024 match-up were reported in a new Harvard CAPS-Harris Poll survey that was released to The Hill on Monday as Democrats free-fall amid the ongoing crises plaguing the Biden administration.

The poll showed that, if the election were held today, Trump would have the support of 47 percent of the voters surveyed, compared to 41 percent for Biden and with 12 percent saying they were undecided.

In another hypothetical match-up with Trump, the vice president garnered only 38 percent support while 49 percent would back Trump. Harris squeaked past Florida Governor Ron DeSantis in another scenario in which she received 40 percent of support in the Harvard survey’s match-up against the popular GOP governor who received 38 percent.

“Seems like the American people really prefer mean tweets to 6 dollar gas!!!” Donald Trump, Jr. tweeted in response to the latest survey that does not bode well for Democrats.

Biden’s current approval came in at just 39 percent, according to the poll.

“I would not give a lot of weight to trial heats right now other than they reflect the weakness of Biden and the administration right now,” Mark Penn, co-director of the Harvard CAPS-Harris Poll survey, told The Hill.

“That Trump beats them both by a wide margin suggests most Republican nominees once known fully by the public would beat them unless they are able to pivot out of the current nadir in their numbers,” he added.

According to The Hill:

Trump remains the favorite for the 2024 GOP nod, with 59 percent of Republican voters saying they would support him should he take another shot at the White House. Former Vice President Mike Pence and DeSantis are statistically tied for second place, garnering 11 percent and 10 percent support, respectively.

In the event that Trump doesn’t run again, however, DeSantis supplants Pence as the favorite. In that scenario, 28 percent of Republican voters say they would back DeSantis, while 24 percent say they would support Pence.


Trump has not confirmed that he will be running again in 2024 but has not denied any speculation.

“The truth is I ran twice, I won twice and I did much better the second time,” the former president said at a rally in Georgia last weekend. “And now, we just may have to do it again.”

Harvard’s Center for American Political Studies and The Harris Poll was conducted on March 23-24 and surveyed 1,990 registered voters


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