Podcaster Joe Rogan discussed a “doomsday clock” with artificial intelligence experts and was left concerned by the response.
Gladstone AI says its mission is “to promote the responsible development and adoption of AI by providing safeguards against AI-driven national security threats, such as weaponization and loss of control.”
CEO Jeremie Harris and CTO Eduoard Harris joined the “Joe Rogan Experience” and discussed the emerging technology as well as its dangers.
“If there’s a doomsday clock for AI… what time is it?” Rogan asked right at the top.
After laughing at how the host jumped right into the topic, Jeremie replied that “there’s a bunch of disagreement” but concluded that AI “could hit human-level… capabilities across the board” in a few short years, likely by 2027 or 2028.
“You’ll be able to have AI on your show and ask it what the doomsday clock is like by then,” Eduoard said.
“It probably won’t laugh,” quipped Rogan with a sigh.
“It’ll have a terrible sense of humor about it,” Eduard responded with a laugh as Jeremie added, “Just make sure you ask it what it had for breakfast.”
“What about quantum computing getting involved in AI?” Rogan asked.
“I honestly, I don’t think it’s if you think that you’re going to hit human level AI capabilities across the board, say 2027, 2028, which when you talk to some of these, the people in the labs themselves that’s the timelines they’re looking at, they’re not confident, they’re not sure but that seems pretty plausible,” Jeremie explained.
“If that happens really, there’s no way we’re going to have quantum computing that’s going to be giving enough of a bump to these techniques, you’re going to have standard classical computing,” he continued. “The data centers that are being built today are being thought of literally as the data centers that are going to house, like the artificial brain that powers super intelligence, human level AI when it’s built in like 2027.”
Earlier, he had noted a study out of a lab called METR showed how AI technology was able to complete tasks “that would take humans less than four minutes to complete with a nearly 100 percent success rate and a 50 percent success rate for tasks that take humans an hour to complete,” as Daily Mail noted.
That rate is increasing “almost every four months, especially for tasks involving research and software engineering,” the outlet reported as the duo concluded that by 2027, work done by an AI researcher that takes a month will soon be done by AI itself with a 50 percent success rate.
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